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S&P 500 Hovers Near All-Time High Before Earnings: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Stocks fluctuated near their all-time highs as traders looked ahead to the start of the earnings season and inflation data that will be key in shaping the Federal Reserve outlook.

Most companies in the S&P 500 rose despite renewed losses in chipmakers. With Corporate America navigating one of the strongest profit cycles in recent history, equities have also defied concerns about elevated energy costs and bond yields. Brent crude climbed to around $107 a barrel. Treasury futures were little changed, with the cash market closed for Columbus Day.

The stock bull run is completing its fourth anniversary, with the S&P 500 surging nearly 120% from its 2022 bottom. And investors are gearing up for a high-stakes earnings season that will be crucial to sustaining that rally. Profit resilience helps explain why stocks have remained so strong, said Bret Kenwell at eToro.

“Growth has been powerful enough to keep valuations in check and allow investors to look past higher yields, interest rates, and inflation,” he added. “Another strong quarter could reinforce the bull narrative intact into year-end, while a disappointment could catalyze a broader pullback.”

The market may be susceptible to negative surprises, but the fact that it has continued to reach new highs amid challenges highlights the strength of longer-term artificial-intelligence tailwinds, said Chris Larkin at E*Trade from Morgan Stanley.

“Earnings growth remains supportive for equities and the recent valuation de-rating has improved asymmetry into the third-quarter earnings season,” said Goldman Sachs Group Inc. strategists led by Christian Mueller-Glissmann. They raised their three-month view on stocks to overweight.

S&P 500 firms are estimated to post a 25% jump in third-quarter profits compared with a year earlier, according to data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence.

The earnings season gets underway Tuesday, when Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. report results. Bank of America Corp. and Morgan Stanley’s figures are due on the following day.

“The big banks tend to set the stage for the rest of earnings season largely since their performance reveals how the underlying economy is doing, and a strong economy is the key to a healthy earnings season,” said Clark Bellin at Bellwether Wealth.

Meantime, this week’s consumer price index is likely to be the most-important release of data the Fed will see before its October meeting, according to Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds at Glenmede. Barring a stronger-than-expected reading, the central bank will probably take a patient approach to its next rate hike, they said.

Corporate Highlights:

Microsoft Corp. is gearing up to install the latest version of its own chips in data centers, with the aim of powering its AI software using mostly homegrown hardware. Salesforce Inc. rose after Bank of America raised the recommendation on the software company to buy, pointing to tailwinds from AI adoption. Starbucks Corp. said it’s not buying Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., seeking to tamp down speculation about what could have been one of the restaurant sector’s largest-ever deals. Bristol Myers Squibb Co.’s experimental drugs for treating a rare endocrine cancer and a deadly form of lung disease showed promise in late-stage studies, a potential boon for the pharmaceutical company’s new product pipeline. LVMH’s biggest division posted a slump in sales last quarter as its key Louis Vuitton brand suffered from a boycott in China. Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

The S&P 500 was little changed as of 12 p.m. New York time The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.5% The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5% The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.6% The MSCI World Index was little changed Currencies

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1% The euro fell 0.4% to $1.1158 The British pound fell 0.2% to $1.3205 The Japanese yen fell 0.3% to 158.73 per dollar Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin fell 1.1% to $82,651.45 Ether fell 0.3% to $2,528.34 Bonds

The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 5.24% Germany’s 10-year yield was little changed at 3.47% Britain’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to 5.43% Commodities

West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.9% to $93.57 a barrel Spot gold fell 0.6% to $4,169.65 an ounce ©2026 Bloomberg L.P.

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SWI swissinfo.ch - a branch of Swiss Broadcasting Corporation SRG SSR